Charlie daily

CMFDH II — spot-long BTC + 1/2 short-future hedge + premium capture (Deribit)
Position snapshot · 2026-05-07Brief refreshed 2026-05-14
Current AUM
$1.14M
CMFDH II · as of 2026-05-05
Net delta (Deribit)
−7.58 BTC
in decision zone (amber)
Theta / day
+$125
~$6.25k over 50 days
Days to expiry
~50
Jun 26 expiry

Recent activity

Position analysis published — income enhancement options A–E mapped action menu
2026-05-07 · spot $81,013 · book P&L −$33,820
Aneep meeting — staging env + openclaw box confirmed; nothing actionable for Charlie
2026-05-08 · websocket schema still pending
Miklos (Dubai) — sub agreement close-letter sent (now Fred's lane) sent
2026-05-13 · executed sub pending close
Agent brief rebuilt — fundraising carved out to Fred (effective 2026-05-25)
2026-05-14 · Charlie now owns fund performance only

Queue / next

Capture total off-Deribit BTC exposure blocker
Required before sizing any hedge
Tail caps (Option A) — 2× 95k C + 1× 100k C
~$2,153 for $30k tail protection
Watch spot vs $84k — roll-up (Option B) trigger
Decide within 2 weeks
Friday status file → Oskar
Weekly · by 07:00 local

Decisions needed

Performance context: Q4 2025 −14.8% · Q1 2026 −9.6% post-fee · drawdown ~22% from Q3 2025 peak. Combined synthetic CMFDH I+II track record (hypothetical $1M at 2019-07-01 inception, no contributions/withdrawals): ~$8.9M after fees (~38.2% annualized net) as of 2026-03-31 — use for marketing only, always label as hypothetical.

Hard rule: Current-quarter short future is the standing hedge. Never close on mark-to-market reasoning. Only swap intra-quarter for higher yield.